Might be a good idea to leave the house with your rain boots and umbrella on Thursday, it's going to be a wet one.
It didn't look that that for much of the morning an even around lunchtime. But by early afternoon, rain began to move into the NYC area.
The storms will take several hours for the slug of rain to push through, so expect to need an umbrella or rain coat in the evening before the rain eventually pushes out east later in the evening. The atmosphere will be highly juiced, meaning there will be a lot of moisture to create some impressive rain totals.
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Just how much rain could be in store for us? The majority of the tri-state could see between 1 and 2 inches, while more isolated areas in and around NYC could see more.
The rain will come over a long stretch of time, maybe six hours in spots, which reduces any potential flash flooding risk but isolated pockets of heavy rain could still cause problems, particularly for the evening commute. Isolated strong-to-severe storms will be possible throughout the evening, especially in Long Island, NYC and much of New Jersey.
There also a non-zero chance for a tornado or damaging wind gusts for eastern parts of Long Island and further south down along the Jersey Shore, with some potential to get rotation as the storms come through in the 5-7 p.m. time frame.
The National Weather Service had issued a tornado warning for Burlington and Ocean counties in New Jersey until 3:30 p.m.
The good news is that severe storms are not likely. They are expected to wind down by midnight.
Once those clear out, Friday looks to be downright fabulous, as the humidity drops and sunshine returns. Saturday starts that way, too, but it will be muggier and showers are likely by the evening. Sunday will have some storms possible as well, but as a whole, the weekend will be much more dry than wet (Sunday looks like the better day overall).
Another chance for showers returns Monday night into Tuesday.
