Storm Team 4

Tropical Storm Helene intensifies on approach to Florida; will it affect NY weather?

Here's the latest from the National Hurricane Center and Storm Team 4

Tropical Storm Helene continues to strengthen Wednesday and is expected to rock the Florida Gulf Coast later this week as a Category 3 hurricane

As of the National Hurricane Center's latest update, Helene was almost at hurricane strength, with sustained winds of 70 mph, as it moved just off the northeastern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula.

It was about 60 miles from Cozumel and moving northwest at 9 mph.

Additional strengthening is forecast, and Helene is expected to become a hurricane later Wednesday. The storm is forecast to rapidly strengthen over the eastern Gulf of Mexico and become a major hurricane on Thursday.

At this point, it is zeroing in on the Big Bend area stretch of the Florida Gulf Coast, which is one of the most sparsely populated sections of Florida’s coastline.

Hurricane force winds as high as 115 miles per hour will cause considerable damage to areas near the eye of the storm. Surge will be a more widespread problem for Florida. 

Near the eye, storm surge could be as high as 15 feet. Further away, in the Tampa Bay area, peak surge could be as high as 8 feet, which will cause significant coastal flooding. Surge will be steadily lower farther south, along the beaches of Fort Meyers, Naples and the Florida Keys.



Over the southeastern U.S., Helene is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 5 to 10 inches with isolated totals around 15 inches.

This rainfall will likely result in areas of considerable flash and urban flooding, with areas of significant river flooding. Landslides are possible in areas of steep terrain in the southern Appalachians. Flash flooding is likely.


For the tri-state area, Helene is expected to have no impact. A well-timed ridge of high pressure will set up over the Northeast and deflect the remnants of Helene west, into the Midwest, by the weekend. 

That high pressure is expected to deliver nice weather to the tri-state on both Saturday and Sunday.

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