Janice Huff’s forecast for September 15.
What to Know
- Hurricane Jose, 650 miles from the Outer Banks, is generating swells that could produce life-threatening rip currents along the East Coast
- Storm Team 4 is closely monitoring the system after a westward shift that has put Long Island in the so-called cone of uncertainty
- The National Hurricane Center says people from North Carolina to New England should monitor the progress of the system
Much of the tri-state area, including New York City, Long Island, coastal Jersey and Connecticut, are in the so-called "cone of uncertainty" for Hurricane Jose, the sdystem meandering through the Atlantic Ocean, according to the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center.
Storm Team 4 is closely monitoring the system after a westward shift that could potentially bring Jose, which regained hurricane strength Friday afternoon, closer to the tri-state.
The latest projections show the category 1 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 75 mph moving slightly west and closer to the coast as it swirls north. According to Storm Team 4, that means periods of rainfall, gusty winds and coastal flooding are increasingly likely next week, depending on Jose's track.
The National Weather Service says the heaviest rain is expected to be across Long Island and southern Connecticut Monday night through Tuesday night, with a 20 to 30 percent chance of tropical storm-force winds across eastern Long Island early Tuesday into Wednesday. Still, Storm Team 4 warns it all depends on the storm track.
The National Hurricane Center says people from North Carolina to New England should monitor the progress of the system, which is expected to return to hurricane-strength later Friday. It's currently around 640 miles southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, and is expected to continue its northwest motion Friday, followed by a turn to the north-northwest late Saturday and then north Sunday.
Although the center of Jose is currently forecast to pass well east of the North Carolina coast early next week, tropical-storm-force winds are expected to extend well west of the center and could approach the Outer Banks on Monday, the National Hurricane Center says.
Swells generated by Jose are affecting Bermuda, the Bahamas, the northern coasts of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico, and the southeast coast of the United States, and will spread northward along the mid-Atlantic coast during the next few days, which will likely cause dangerous if not life-threatening surf and rip current conditions, the National Hurricane Center says. At this point, it's too early to tell if Jose will have direct impacts farther north along the east coast.
Storm Team 4 says the storm will likely weaken again as it moves into the cooler waters of the north Atlantic early next week, but it could be a tropical storm as it nears Long Island on Tuesday and Wednesday.
Local
In a worst-case scenario, Jose could pelt the tri-state -- and Long Island in particular -- with conditions similar to a strong nor'easter. That means strong winds, beach erosion and periods of heavy rain would all be possible.
But if the storm moves out to sea as it moves north, Storm Team 4 says it could at the very least make for a breezy middle of the workweek with a few showers.
Meanwhile, Storm Team 4 says the region will see several days of warm, muggy weather courtesy of the remnants of Irma. The deadly storm that caused catastrophic damage as it spun through Florida and the southeast has lost the majority of its strength but is slowly creeping through the region, making for warm temperatures, high humidity, clouds and a spot shower here and there through most of the weekend.
